Why Is Nebraska Only a Two Touchdown Favorite at Purdue
Nebraska usually gets the benefit of the doubt from the Vegas crowd. Part of having a big brand name is that people will pay a premium for it. Most weeks, that means the Huskers have to win by a greater margin to keep the betting even than you might have expected making a comparison to the opponents on paper. However, this week the margin against 1-4 Purdue seems a little light. Why might that be?
Musical Chairs at Quarterback
In Purdue's case, there may be some hope that a change at quarterback is addition by subtraction. Danny Etling has emerged as the starter over the veteran Rob Henry. Etling's 2/2 touchdown to interception ratio is a wee bit better than Henry's 4/6. In Nebraska's case, losing Taylor Martinez to injury is simply subtraction (despite the early love affair that fans have with Tommy Armstrong).
Lafayette is hardly the most intimidating environment for a college football game. Still, it should be kinder to an inexperienced quarterback playing at home than one on the road. Perhaps, the though is that Tommy Armstrong and Ron Kellogg won't do as well outside Memorial stadium.
Purdue is coming off of a bye week which presumably gave them extra time to prepare for Nebraska. It certainly can't hurt a team trying to change their course after such a bad start to the season. Still, it's hard to say that really adds up to points against a superior opponent.
Perhaps there are legitimate reasons to like Purdue more than the numbers so far might indicate. Still, 14 or even 15 points seems on the low side of what the Huskers should win by on Saturday.