Opening Game Doesn’t Change Outlook
The Wyoming game may have changed the way people see the 2013 Nebraska team. The Huskers dropped in both the AP and coaches polls after the game. Nevertheless, they still find themselves as 28-point favorites going into the game against Southern Mississippi. Your defense has to do something right in order to win a game by four touchdowns. Apparently, the betting public hasn't decided that NU's defense is completely inept. But how does it change perceptions down the road?
In some of the rosier prognostications, the Huskers might have gone 11-1 this season, though 10-2 or 9-3 seemed like more common expectations heading into the season. Going game by game, the most likely loss was at Michigan and second likeliest appeared to be at Penn State.
If you take a look at the latest Sagarin ratings and apply the home field advantage, you'll find Nebraska wins ten games with the losses coming at Michigan and at Penn State. Even the relatively strong start by UCLA and the scare from Wyoming hasn't changed that.
Should Nebraska win by 3 to 4 touchdowns, it may not create a ton of additional optimism for Husker fans nor will it likely change the betting prospects for the Huskers. The Wyoming game may have shaken the NU faithful, but apparently the betting public is made of sturdier stuff.