TCU at Texas
We neglected to handicap this Saturday’s game between the Horned Frogs and Longhorns in our podcast yesterday, but this contest is just too juicy to ignore. It pits the 19th ranked team in the country (TCU) against the 7th ranked team (Texas). Not only is this a big game for week two (second only to #9 Virginia Tech at #2 LSU). But it’s a big game for the state of Texas, and by extension the Big 12.
TCU has lost fourteen straight in Austin but hasn’t faced Texas since 1995. The Horned Frogs have won their last five games against Big 12 teams (including an upset of Oklahoma in Norman in 2005 and a home victory over Texas Tech last season). The Longhorns are a 9 1/2 point favorite but chances are that spread would be larger if not for such a poor showing by Texas in their opener against Arkansas State
It’s easy to believe that Texas was looking ahead to TCU in their opener. TCU was ranked coming into the season and seemed like the only opponent of substance until late September. But what if Texas is really that bad? What if TCU was also looking ahead and otherwise would have lit up Baylor by a 77-7 margin?
With the game being played at home at night for Texas, you’d have to think that they’ll come out a winner. But Texas hasn’t proven that they automatically get 10 points over a team that probably wants this game more than any other. The last four games for Texas include a loss to Kansas State, a loss at home to Texas A&M, a narrow win over an unranked Iowa team in the friendly confines of the Alamo Bowl, and now an eight point win over Arkansas State. Call me crazy, but I wouldn’t be falling over myself to bet on Texas to cover the spread this Saturday.
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